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A passer rating of 100 or more remains an impressive milestone Dallas Cowboys Kavon Frazier Jersey , even if it isn’t as rare as it used to be. We take a look at how the active NFL QBs measure up against this milestone." />Skip to main contentclockmenumore-arrownoyesHorizontal - WhiteBlogging The BoysBlogging The Boys, a Dallas Cowboys fan communityLog In or Sign UpLog InSign UpFanpostsFanshotsSectionsLibraryCowboysOddsShopAboutMastheadCommunity GuidelinesStubHubMoreAll 322 blogs on Horizontal - WhiteFanposts Fanshots Sections Dallas Cowboys NewsFiled under:Dallas Cowboys GeneralBefore you decide if Dak Prescott is worth the big money, you should check out these statsNew,351commentsA passer rating of 100 or more remains an impressive milestone, even if it isn’t as rare as it used to be. We take a look at how the active NFL QBs measure up against this milestone.CDTShareTweetShareShareBefore you decide if Dak Prescott is worth the big money, you should check out these statsPhoto by Mark Thompson/Getty ImagesWhen the NFL passer rating was initially developed in 1973, the objective was to create a single number that would differentiate between outstanding, excellent, average and poor performance. Below are the metrics the developers of the formula felt best denoted those performances at the time, and which they combined into the passer rating we know today. The passer rating was implemented based on the league averages in the early 1970s. As the passing game improved, so have some of those metrics.Take completion percentage: In 2018, the league average completion percentage was 64.9%, while in 1973 (when the passer rating formula was created) that average was 52.0%. Outside of fans of Eli Manning (60.3% career completion percentage), nobody in their right mind would consider a 60% completion percentage “excellent” anymore.Similarly, in this pass-happy era of the NFL, a passer rating of 100.0 may not be considered “excellent” anymore, but it is still a pretty good performance any way you look at it. Last year, for example, NFL starting QBs combined for 210 games with a passer rating over 100 in 512 opportunities. In total, 40 QBs started at least one game in which they had a passer rating of 100+, and Patrick Mahomes led all QBs with 13 such games. The combined W/L record last year of QBs in games with a 100+ rating is 151-58-1 for an impressive .719 winning percentage.If we accept that a 100+ rating in a game is a “very good”, perhaps even an “excellent”, performance by the QB, it follows that a QB with a lot of 100+ rating games is a very good, probably even excellent quarterback. And indeed, if you look at the you look at the Pro-Football-Reference.com list of active QBs with the most 100+ rating games in their career, you’ll find the usual suspects at the top of the list: Tom Brady(127 games with a 100+ rating), Drew Brees (124), and Philip Rivers (95), along with Ben Roethlisberger (89) and Aaron Rodgers (87) lead all QBs in this category.In fairness though, all five guys have been around the block a few times and are also among the top NFL QBs in number of games started with 235 (Brady), 232 (Brees), 183 (Roethlisberger), 176 (Rivers), and Rodgers (135) a little farther back, so it’s not a big surprise to see that these five also lead the league in 100+ rating games.To account for that, we’ll look at these numbers a little differently. The following table is limited to the 33 NFL QBs currently under contract who’ve started at least 33 games in their career. It shows those QB’s total number of 100+ rating games, and more importantly, their “Good game percentage” (100+ rating games as a percentage of total games started). We’ll look at the QBs with 32 starts or less a little further down this post.100+ Passer Rating Games (click on column headers to sort)QBs with 30+ starts100+ Passer Rating games (min 10 PA)Games Started (min 10 PA)100+ games in % of total games startedWin PercentageTotalWLTFollow this Pro-Football-Reference link if you want to play around with the base data. For example, you could include all QBs between 1998 and 2018, not just the currently active QBs; you could include playoff games if you want to; you could remove the filter for the minimum 10 pass attempts needed to qualify; you can do whatever you want, but for now you’re stuck with the parameters I defined.If you sort the table by “Good Game Percentage” you’ll see that Aaron Rodgers throws more 100+ rating games than anybody else in the league, and he does it consistently. His rate of 56% leads all other QBs by quite a margin.Second on this list Womens Kavon Frazier 2019 Jersey , and probably a surprise for most people reading this table, is Dak Prescott. With a 51% good game percentage, Prescott has the second-highest percentage of 100+ rating games of all NFL QBs, ahead of Russell Wilson (50%), Tom Brady (48%) and Drew Brees (48%).If you judge a QB by the company he keeps, Cowboys fans should be quite happy with Dak Prescott, as he is in pretty good company in this ranking. And he also compares favorably to Tony Romo, who managed 64 100+ games in his 125 career starts, a 51.2% rate.The Z-score, the last column in the table above, shows a player’s ranking relative to the other QBs in the table. The average for the 30 QBs assembled in the table above is 35%, and a z-score of 1.0 means the player is one standard deviation better than the 30-QB average in the table. The six QBs at the top of this table (Rodgers, Prescott, Wilson, Brady, Brees, and even Kirk Cousins) are all at least one standard deviation better than their NFL peers - at least as measured by percentage of games with a 100+ passer rating.For a given data set, the standard deviation measures how spread out numbers are from an average value. If your set of data (e.g. NFL QBs) shows a normal distribution, then about 68 percent of NFL QBs are within one standard deviation of the mean, about 95 percent are within two standard deviations, and about 99.7 percent lie within three standard deviations. Such a standard deviation is best visualized in a normal distribution curve, an example of which you can see below. I’ve included a few selected QBs from the table above to show where they sit on the distribution curve for NFL QBs:In this context, both Prescott and Wilson deserve special mention. In their short careers, both have thrown for a 100+ rating in every second game, which ranks them at the very top of the league. Wilson did it on a team with a good defense but questionable offense, Prescott did it on a team many fans and observers call mediocre at best. Neither gets a lot of credit (some folks in Dallas think Prescott should be paid less than some of the below-average QBs on this list), and neither gets the type of recognition some players with a higher draft pedigree get.Former top picks like Matthew Stafford (-0.1), Andrew Luck (-0.5) or Eli Manning (-0.7) are all below average passers by this measure. They may get a lot more headlines, and their draft pedigree means people are making a lot more excuses for their performance (“But look at his leadership qualities,” “but you’ve got to account for the quality of his teammates”, “but he wears that neckbeard so well”), but Prescott and Wilson consistently deliver better games as measured by passer rating. “But wait,” some might say, “isn’t it unfair to compare a long career like Eli Manning’s to a shorter career in the now pass-happy NFL?”Maybe, maybe not. Still, to ease your mind, here’s the same data as in the table above but limited to games played between 2016 -2018.QBs 2016-2018100+ Passer Rating games (min 10 PA)Games Started (min 10 PA)100+ games in % of total games startedTotalWLT This is a better look for Drew Brees, who’s had a phenomenal three-year run. Matt Ryan also looks better and even Matthew Stafford makes it into the top eight. The remaining names in the top eight are familiar from the table before: Brady, Rodgers, Prescott, Wilson, and Rivers. The average 100+ game ratio over the last three years is 40%, up from the 35% we saw in the previous table White Demarcus Lawrence Jersey , but Eli Manning stoically keeps doing his thing with 28% in both tables. “But wait,” some might say, “isn’t passer rating an outdated stat? Why are we looking at that at all?”It is true that passer rating is an imperfect measure as an efficiency stat. But at least it is an efficiency stat and stands out like a beacon of hope in a world in which most people still think the right way to evaluate QBs is with volume stats like total passing yards or passing TDs.Still, to ease your mind, the follow-up post to this one will use an EPA-based metric to run the same exercise. But do you really think an EPA-based metric will make Eli Manning a better quarterback? Or Dak Prescott a lesser quarterback? “But dangnabbit,” some might say, “when are we finally going to talk about Patrick Mahomes?”I didn’t include some of the younger QBs in the table above because I felt that the small sample size (less than 30 starts) could possibly distort the overall picture. Still, to ease your mind, here are 10 mostly young QBs who’ve had less than 30 starts in their NFL careers so far.QBs with lessthan 30 starts100+ Passer Rating games (min 10 PA)Games Started (min 10 PA)100+ games in % of total games startedTotalWLTThis table looks like it offers a promising batch of young QBs. Patrick Mahomes set the league on fire with his play last year, as did Deshaun Watson to perhaps a little less fanfare in his first two seasons. For various reasons, Jimmy Garoppolo has started just 10 games in his 5-year career. He’s done well in most of them, but what can we really extrapolate from those games? The 49ers signed him to a five-year, $137 million contract after just seven career starts, so they must be pretty confident in their own powers of exrapolation.The other players here have all had middling starts to their careers, though that could of course change as they add quality NFL starts. But some guys here are already behind the curve: Over their first 32 games, Aaron Rodgers (18 100+ passer rating games), Tony Romo (19) and Dak Prescott (16) had 100+ game percentages of 56%, 59%, and 50% respectively.Ultimately, it’s not one player that wins and loses games. Dak Prescott has more than his fair share of detractors, but going by the company he keeps in the stats above, he is at the very top of the game. Now if only the rest of the world would catch up. With big-time trades, high-cost free agent moves, and another draft in the books, which NFC East team has done the best to improve their roster? And how do the Dallas Cowboys compare to their divisional rivals?"The NFL Draft is over. Free agency, for all intents and purposes, is over. There are bound to be more transactions before the season begins, but most of the big splash moves are over and done with. Teams will now take what they have into training camp and begin the process of formulating their 2019 roster. It’s been a busy offseason for all of the NFC East teams. We’ve seen some pricey free agent signings, big-time trades, and tough decisions to part ways with some key players. It certainly wasn’t boring.But what does all the moving and shaking mean for the upcoming season? Which team has done the most to bolster their roster? Which team has taken the biggest hit when it comes to losing important pieces? And which team has the most overall talent after all these changes have gone down? Let’s take a look at some of the key moves each NFC East team has made and try to put a value to them. For this exercise, we are going to use Approximate Value scores from NFL Reference to assign each player a seasonal value. Each players value is based on what they received last season, however the scores are prorated over a full 16 games to compare apples to apples. Since we are trying to look at the value of what these players offer going forward, players whose scores were affected by games missed won’t be penalized when evaluating a fresh new season.[Note: Not all players are mentioned. Players with AV scores that are low enough to be just another guy are disregarded. For example, new Cowboys safety George Iloka may very well help the team, but based on his most recent AV score, it will be assumed that his impact is negligible.]New additionsThe Philadelphia Eagles always love to go after new blood and that’s exactly what they did. DeSean Jackson returns to the team that drafted him. The added former Jacksonville Jaguars DT Malik Jackson to strengthen the interior defensive line. And they made a trade with the Chicago Bears to get Jordan Howard to help their running back group. Howard is on the last year of his rookie deal. While Cowboys fans have been relatively pleased with the acquisition of Robert Quinn and Randall Cobb, the Eagles’ moves scored out twice as good in terms of approximate values, mainly due to volume. All three of the Cowboys division rivals have done more to bolster their roster, which Philadelphia being the team that has added the most new talent.LossesThe Cowboys just sat back and watched their divisional piranhas feed off each other. The Redskins stole Landon Collins from the Giants. The Giants stole Golden Tate from the Eagles, and then the Eagles just recently stole Zach Brown from the Redskins. While Dallas didn’t gain nearly as much as their NFC East counterparts, they didn’t lose much either. In fact, the damage is relatively mild in contrast to the other teams. The Giants took a big hit with some of their top stars in Odell Beckham Jr. and Olivier Vernon being dealt to the Cleveland Browns. They also traded Damon Harrison to the Detroit Lions to get out from his contract as well as letting All-Pro safety Landon Collins walk in free agency. The Eagles lost a lot as well, but the most recognizable hit comes from Nick Foles Demarcus Lawrence Jersey 2019 , but if Carson Wentz returns to form and stays healthy, the loss of Foles won’t matter much. Even still, the Eagles lost a few good players. Golden Tate’s stay didn’t last long, but he is a very underrated receiver who gets open on a regular basis. And the loss of Jordan Hicks might sting more than some Eagles fans are willing to admit as he had the same tackle/sack per game contribution as the Cowboys Jaylon Smith. And Michael Bennett’s nine sacks in 2018 will be missed.The Redskins didn’t lose any big time players, but they lost five solid contributors and all of that adds up. Washington shook things up at safety with the departures of both D.J. Swearinger and Ha Ha Clinton-Dix. Pass rusher Preston Smith was selected 38th overall in 2015 and has had two seasons with eight sacks, but he signed a four-year, $52 million deal with the Green Bay Packers.The Cowboys basically lost Cole Beasley and that’s it. Geoff Swaim shows up barely because he did contribute a little before he got hurt, but most of the players not returning to the team are essentially non-factors. Of course, all this changes drastically if the Cowboys weren’t able to retain All-Pro defensive edge DeMarcus Lawrence.Returning playersNot surprising, the Cowboys and Eagles have the most talent in terms of players returning in 2019. The Cowboys have eight players with an approximate value of 10 or more, whereas the Redskins only have one player in double digits - Ryan Kerrigan. Both Dallas and Philadelphia are top heavy in talent, but also have a lot of good players spread out all over the roster. This speaks to how well both organizations have done building their roster.So, when we add the new players to the current roster, where does each team stand?The picture painted here is that the Cowboys and Eagles should once again fight it out for the NFC East crown, where the Giants and Redskins have a lot of catching up to do. And that’s what they were hoping to do in the draft. Here is each team’s draft haul through the first three rounds of the draft:[Note: only premium picks were included since there is significant evidence showing that Day 3 rookies add very little value in terms of AV scores.]The Cowboys got out-drafted... at least that’s what it looks like right now. Of course, that sorta thing is expected to happen when their divisional counterparts have a lot more draft capital at their disposal.The Giants managed to get three first-round players, while the Redskins snagged two. Even the Eagles pulled off two second-round picks. Meanwhile, the Cowboys were not participants on Day 1 and picked late in both rounds on Day 2. And while their division rivals started with a big head start, combining for six total first-round picks, each of the teams also had to sit out a round. The Redskins and Giants both didn’t have a second-round pick and the Eagles didn’t pick in the third round.We won’t know the outcome of this draft haul until much later, but on paper, the NFC East teams made up some ground with more resources being thrown at young players. So, what does this all mean?The Giants are paying the price for trying to take shortcuts in free agency during the 2016 season. After making it to the wild card game that year, they’ve since finished in last place in the division in each of the last two seasons. They have now basically waved the white flag and sold off their stars in hopes of rebuilding through the draft. That’s a noble strategy, but until they start drafting better, this team will continue to spin it’s wheels.The Redskins have done a decent job putting pieces together, particularly on defense, but they only go as far as their quarterback goes. And after transitioning from Robert Griffin III to Kirk Cousins to Alex Smith to now Case Keenum/Dwayne Haskins - it’s back to square one for them. They still have some good players with some great draft picks along the defensive line over the last couple years, but they have a ways to go to shore up the depth of their roster.The Eagles are always active. In a way, they are like the the old Jerry Jones. Right, wrong, or indifferent - they’re always doing stuff. Some of it blows up in their face, some of it wins them a Super Bowl. With many good players on the roster, the Eagles are going to be good, but the question is - how good can they be? All that rests on the shoulders (or knee? or back?) of their young quarterback, Carson Wentz. It remains a mystery of what that all means with the range of awesomeness being really wide for this team. Wentz was flat out tearing it up in 2017 before he tore his ACL, but then looked very unimpressive last season. Eagles fans are hoping he can just chalk that up to bad health and that better days are coming.The Cowboys havea lot of good players so it has to feel good sitting where they’re at. They are a young team and still have a lot of money to spend over the next several years, however - all that will change once they get some of their younger stars into second contracts. With a team that is much improved, it’s harder to get excited about new rookies coming in and dethroning the incumbents, but that’s okay. The Cowboys are a patient organization and while they didn’t sell out for the upcoming season, everything they do is sustainable for the near future. They will be great now and they will be great later, but what everyone wants to know - when will they be Super? That time may be closer than we think.